Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 5, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$123.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 5, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 32.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 28 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 28 Dec 2025 to 5 Jan 2026, the highest close was 67.5% on 5 Jan 2026 and the lowest 48% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 67.5% on 5 Jan 2026. $123.23K traded over the market's life.

52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 4:33 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 28 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026, chart shows 40%–80%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Dec 2025	48.0%
5 Jan 2026	67.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	11.86K
roldy	Yes	8.19K
TwoEyes	Yes	5K
alliterate	Yes	4.81K

10 of 52 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship hockey tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g. they are eliminated in the knockout stages), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IIHF World Junior Championship tournament organizers (https://www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm20); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.