Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 6 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 6 Mar 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 23.5% on 6 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 14.5% on 8 Mar 2025. $83.28K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 7:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 6 Mar 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Mar 2025 | 23.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Atlas 6EB7 | Yes | 900 |
| xiaocui | Yes | 500 |
| etherman | Yes | 36.29 |
| Tib | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On March 4, Canada imposed 25% reciprocal tariffs on a variety of goods from the United States (see: https://www.canada.ca/en/department-finance/news/2025/03/list-of-products-from-the-united-states-subject-to-25-per-cent-tariffs-effective-march-4-2025.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada removes the retaliatory tariffs it placed on US goods by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Only actions which remove all retaliatory tariffs will qualify toward this market's resolution. Lowering the tariffs below 25% without removing them will not qualify. The application or removal of tariffs apart from the retaliatory tariffs placed on the US on March 4 will have no impact on this market's resolution. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-canada-remove-retaliatory-tariffs-on-usa-in-march
| Live-Pepperoni | Yes | 13.16 |
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.04 |
| bistrogons | No | 0.03 |
| blyagha | No | 0.02 |
| smartmoney.no.smart.no.money | No | 0.02 |
| PadreMaronno | Yes | 0.01 |
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