Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.7%. Yes opened at 37% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 75% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2.4% on 25 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 51 points up, to 75% on 6 Sep 2026. $4.03K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 37.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 2.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Kestrel 00F9 | Yes | 617.1 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 23.58 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ncaa-football-california-2026-win-total
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 0.08 |
| PPMT | Yes | 0.08 |
| 50testreward | No | 0.05 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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