What is the “Will $BTC reach 80k before October?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will $BTC reach 80k before October? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will $BTC reach before October?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 30, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) prior to October.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($1.16M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 43 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 2, 3:26 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-btc-reach-80k-before-october) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will $BTC reach 80k before October? | Polymarket odds & analytics

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Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will $BTC reach 80k before October? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-btc-reach-80k-before-octoberUpdated Oct 2, 2024

cryptoClosed

Scheduled close Sep 30, 2024bitcoincrypto-prices

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

24h Volume

$1.2M

Scheduled close

Sep 30, 2024

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Oct 2, 2024

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Oct 2, 2024

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

97%

Yes / No shares

53.38K / 40

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

389

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Rot	Yes	35.53K	1.9%	$35.53K
luyicc	Yes	8.02K	2.5%	$8.02K

What price will $BTC reach before October?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will $BTC reach 80k before October?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will $BTC reach 80k before October? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will $BTC reach before October?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 30, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) prior to October.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($1.16M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?: Vultax loaded 43 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 97.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
PolyGambitX2	$30
MktP0lyTechq	$10
Rot	$0
luyicc	$0
HotHodl	$0
Khabib	$0
Obnoxious	$0
ER02CB	$0
gogogungun	$0
amcritchie	$0
Atl4s	$0
Donkie	$0