What is the “Will $BTC reach 70k before October?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will $BTC reach 70k before October? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will $BTC reach before October?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Sep 30, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This is a market on the price of Bitcoin ($BTC) prior to October.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($1.3M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 62 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 94.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
$274.35K
No buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Points
32
Move
-25 pts
Range
0.1% - 25.0%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC to Oct 1, 12:00 AM UTC
Sep 28, 12:00 AM UTC
10.6%
10.6%
Sep 27, 12:00 AM UTC
13.3%
13.3%
Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC
3.5%
3.5%
Sep 25, 12:00 AM UTC
11.5%
11.5%
Sep 24, 12:00 AM UTC
10.0%
10.0%
Sep 23, 12:00 AM UTC
11.5%
11.5%
Sep 22, 12:00 AM UTC
11.0%
11.0%
Sep 21, 12:00 AM UTC
11.5%
11.5%
Sep 20, 12:00 AM UTC
16.5%
16.5%
Sep 19, 12:00 AM UTC
13.5%
13.5%
Sep 18, 12:00 AM UTC
10.5%
10.5%
Sep 17, 12:00 AM UTC
9.0%
9.0%
Sep 16, 12:00 AM UTC
9.5%
9.5%
Sep 15, 12:00 AM UTC
11.0%
11.0%
Sep 14, 12:00 AM UTC
11.5%
11.5%
Sep 13, 12:00 AM UTC
9.0%
9.0%
Sep 12, 12:00 AM UTC
8.0%
8.0%
Sep 11, 12:00 AM UTC
8.5%
8.5%
Sep 10, 12:00 AM UTC
6.5%
6.5%
Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC
7.5%
7.5%
Sep 8, 12:00 AM UTC
7.0%
7.0%
Sep 7, 12:00 AM UTC
6.5%
6.5%
Sep 6, 12:00 AM UTC
12.5%
12.5%
Sep 5, 12:00 AM UTC
14.5%
14.5%
Sep 4, 12:00 AM UTC
14.5%
14.5%
Sep 3, 12:00 AM UTC
16.5%
16.5%
Sep 2, 12:00 AM UTC
17.5%
17.5%
Sep 1, 12:00 AM UTC
20.0%
20.0%
Aug 31, 12:00 AM UTC
25.0%
25.0%
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 2, 5:32 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-btc-reach-before-october) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
