Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 21% on 8 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 8 Jul 2023 to 15 Jul 2023, the highest close was 21% on 8 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 15 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.5% on 15 Jul 2023. $54.9K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 6:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 8 Jul 2023 – 15 Jul 2023, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2023 | 21.0% |
| 15 Jul 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdeadbeef | Yes | 571.43 |
| Rectangular-Parenthesis | Yes | 73.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 7 Jul '23 12:00 and 14 Jul '23 23:59 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 32,500.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-btc-reach-32500-by-july-14
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