Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 30 Mar 2023 to 8 Apr 2023 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 30 Mar 2023 and the lowest 3% on 8 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 30% on 31 Mar 2023. $1.12K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 3:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 30 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2023 | 50.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Quasar 3A40 | Yes | 30.49K |
| Able-Polarisation | Yes | 25 |
| uldis | Yes | 0.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 28 Mar '23 12:00 and 7 Apr '23 23:59 (inclusive) in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 30,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-btc-reach-30000-by-april-7
| Yes |
| 0.46 |
| testing43433434 | Yes | 0.35 |
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