Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.
Depth
Observed
Mar 6, 2024
This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.
Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.
Market state
Closed
Order book
Captured book available
Observed Yes
100.0%
The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.
Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.
Rows loaded
2
Wallets
2
Top 10 share
100%
Yes / No shares
0 / 172.74
Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.
Recent tapeLatest public market trades.
Trades loaded
203
Wallets
97
Loaded notional
PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 5, 12:00 AM
Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.
Bucket
Close
Mid
Spread
Volume
Trades
Mar 5, 12:00 AM
97.0%
97.0%
Mar 4, 12:00 AM
89.0%
89.0%
Mar 3, 12:00 AM
88.0%
88.0%
Questions
Questions about this market
What is the “Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “BTC” if Bitcoin reaches an all-time high before Ethereum. This market will resolve to “ETH” if Ethereum reaches an all-time high before Bitcoin. The resolution source will be Binance, specifically the candlestick high prices for both BTC_USDT and ETH_USDT. The current all-time highs used for this market for BTC and ETH are $68,789 and $4,891 respectively. If neither BTC nor ETH reach an all time high by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
$39.03K
BTC buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Mar 5, 12:00 AM
Points
54
Move
+29 pts
Range
55.0% - 97.0%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM to Mar 5, 12:00 AM
Mar 2, 12:00 AM
88.0%
88.0%
Mar 1, 12:00 AM
89.5%
89.5%
Feb 29, 12:00 AM
85.0%
85.0%
Feb 28, 12:00 AM
69.5%
69.5%
Feb 27, 12:00 AM
67.5%
67.5%
Feb 26, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Feb 25, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Feb 24, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Feb 23, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Feb 22, 12:00 AM
70.5%
70.5%
Feb 21, 12:00 AM
71.0%
71.0%
Feb 20, 12:00 AM
70.5%
70.5%
Feb 19, 12:00 AM
70.5%
70.5%
Feb 18, 12:00 AM
70.0%
70.0%
Feb 17, 12:00 AM
68.5%
68.5%
Feb 16, 12:00 AM
68.5%
68.5%
Feb 15, 12:00 AM
68.5%
68.5%
Feb 14, 12:00 AM
65.5%
65.5%
Feb 13, 12:00 AM
66.5%
66.5%
Feb 12, 12:00 AM
59.5%
59.5%
Feb 11, 12:00 AM
57.5%
57.5%
Feb 10, 12:00 AM
60.5%
60.5%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM
57.5%
57.5%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM
57.5%
57.5%
Feb 7, 12:00 AM
57.0%
57.0%
Feb 6, 12:00 AM
57.0%
57.0%
Feb 5, 12:00 AM
57.0%
57.0%
Feb 4, 12:00 AM
56.5%
56.5%
Feb 3, 12:00 AM
56.5%
56.5%
Feb 2, 12:00 AM
56.0%
56.0%
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
56.0%
56.0%
Jan 31, 12:00 AM
55.0%
55.0%
Jan 30, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 29, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 28, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 27, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 26, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 25, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 24, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 23, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 22, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 21, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 20, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 19, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 18, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 17, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 16, 12:00 AM
55.5%
55.5%
Jan 15, 12:00 AM
56.0%
56.0%
Jan 14, 12:00 AM
58.5%
58.5%
Jan 13, 12:00 AM
60.0%
60.0%
Jan 12, 12:00 AM
68.0%
68.0%
Vultax loaded 2 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 6, 5:42 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-btc-or-eth-reach-all-time-high-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
