What is the “Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?
It resolved BTC on 5 Mar 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “BTC” if Bitcoin reaches an all-time high before Ethereum. This market will resolve to “ETH” if Ethereum reaches an all-time high before Bitcoin. The resolution source will be Binance, specifically the candlestick high prices for both BTC_USDT and ETH_USDT. The current all-time highs used for this market for BTC and ETH are $68,789 and $4,891 respectively. If neither BTC nor ETH reach an all time high by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$39.03K
BTC buy at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Mar 5, 12:00 AM UTC
Showing 60 of 203 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who still holds shares in this market?
2 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Mar 6, 5:42 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-btc-or-eth-reach-all-time-high-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
