
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7% on 29 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 29 Feb 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 19% on 13 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 9% on 8 Mar 2024. $153.82K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 29 Feb 2024 – 1 Apr 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Feb 2024 | 7.0% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| psychokiller | Yes | 109.89 |
| bad_poet | Yes | 100 |
| SalvadoreDallee | Yes | 56.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-btc-reach-in-march
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