Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 10% on 29 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 29 Feb 2024 to 1 Apr 2024, the highest close was 60.5% on 12 Mar 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 30 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 60.5% on 12 Mar 2024. $261.88K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 29 Feb 2024 – 1 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Feb 2024 | 10.0% |
| 1 Apr 2024 | 1.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Silver Comet A168 | Yes | 1.02K |
| zxcytu | Yes | 486.72 |
| lisanAlGaib-754 | Yes | 250 |
| NSM | Yes | 88.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-btc-reach-in-march
| varb2 | Yes | 77.78 |
| halilsenturk | Yes | 54.79 |
| UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU | Yes | 27.12 |
| 1000x | Yes | 19.51 |
| Anonnnnn | No | 18.2 |
| Cuddly-Planter | Yes | 9.76 |
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