Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80.8%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 29 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Feb 2024 to 8 Mar 2024, the highest close was 88% on 5 Mar 2024 and the lowest 49.5% on 2 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 88% on 5 Mar 2024. $110.51K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Feb 2024 – 8 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Feb 2024 | 51.5% |
| 8 Mar 2024 | 80.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DudeManAnon | No | 647.52 |
| IDF-General | No | 112.97 |
| JULIANSIBARA | No | 52.63 |
| Czar | No | 35.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-btc-reach-in-march
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| mark3241 | Yes | 1.14 |
| elPolloLoco | No | 0.44 |
| raxs-844 | No | 0.1 |
| fftt | Yes | 0.05 |
| xiba | No | 0.04 |
| godpoc | No | 0.04 |
