Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 42% on 18 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 18 Jul 2023 to 5 Aug 2023, the highest close was 42% on 18 Jul 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 5 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 13% on 25 Jul 2023. $12.34K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 7:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 18 Jul 2023 – 5 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2023 | 42.0% |
| 5 Aug 2023 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sweltering-Crowd | Yes | 500 |
| Bet7 | Yes | 50 |
| Satisfied-Plum | Yes | 45.72 |
| Quiet-Hamburger | Yes | 39.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Coinbase 1 minute candle for BTC-USD between 17 Jul '23 17:00 and 04 Aug '23 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price of 32,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the BTC-USD "High" prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/BTC-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the "High" prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value "H" at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase BTC-USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-btc-hit-32000-by-aug-4
| Moneky | No | 0.03 |
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