Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?

Resolved

110k, settled Jul 3, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$68.6K

Resolved

110k

Settled

Jul 3, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved 110k on 3 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had 110k at 87.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 26 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2025 to 3 Jul 2025, the highest close was 40.5% on 2 Jul 2025 and the lowest 12.5% on 3 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 12.5% on 3 Jul 2025. $68.6K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 4:24 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 26 Jun 2025 – 3 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–50%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Jun 2025	26.5%
3 Jul 2025	12.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Eminent-Desert	100k	1.75K
ShaniTradingHub	100k	520.69
Bright Horizon 81D6	100k	438
Linus1995	100k	322.06

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first hit $100,000.00 or $110,000.00 first between June 25, 2025, 13:30 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "100k" if $BTC drops to $100,000.00 or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "110k" if $BTC reaches $110,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $100,000.00 or below nor reaches $110,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.