Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 18 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 18 Sep 2024 to 23 Sep 2024, the highest close was 1.5% on 18 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Sep 2024. $21.32K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 8:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 18 Sep 2024 – 23 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2024 | 1.5% |
| 23 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.78K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 601.83 |
| lesliereed | Yes | 55 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The next election to the Landtag of Brandenburg is scheduled for September 22, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if BSW (Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance – Reason and Justice, Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht – Vernunft und Gerechtigkeit) wins the most votes as a result of the next election for the Landtag of Brandenburg. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next Brandenburg Landtag election does not occur by December 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most votes, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of votes won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Brandenburg election authority, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-wins-most-votes-in-brandenburg-election
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