Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?

Resolved

Yes, settled May 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$8.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

May 13, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 13 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 156 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 13 May 2026 (12 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 32.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 59.5% on 28 Nov 2025. $8.8K traded over the market's life.

29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 14, 1:34 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 156 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 13 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Nov 2025	32.5%
13 May 2026	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.57K
Misty Summit 3196	No	349.19
Quiet Oracle A28D	No	105

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.