Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 52% on 21 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 21 Nov 2025 to 18 Dec 2025, the highest close was 77% on 16 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2% on 18 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 60 points down, to 2% on 18 Dec 2025. $2.3K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 21 Nov 2025 – 18 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 52.0% |
| 18 Dec 2025 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tiancs | Yes | 100 |
| SpongebobBigguypantsokay | Yes | 94.86 |
| Balph | Yes | 35.72 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Brian Armstrong is scheduled to participate in Coinbase's product showcase on December 17, 2025 (https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/1990798715997810957). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Armstrong says the listed term during his appearance at the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Brian Armstrong's appearances at the "Product Showcase: Coinbase System Update 2025" event (https://investor.coinbase.com/events-and-presentations/events/event-details/2025/Product-Showcase-Coinbase-System-Update-2025-Cafj9fkLvm/default.aspx). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the specifically listed events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain Q&As, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or relevant footage is otherwise not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
| Yes |
| 24.1 |
| Flowery-Clavier | Yes | 20 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| yuviji | Yes | 12.05 |
| t189 | Yes | 10 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| 25oodksmsss09 | Yes | 7.69 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-brian-armstrong-say-during-coinbases-product-showcase
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