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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 232.56 | $0.860 | $217.44 | +$17.44 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 723.81 | $0.140 | $101.55 | Jun 10, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 241.28 |
| $0.104 |
| $142.84 |
| +$117.84 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 2.23K | $0.045 | $42.46 | -$57.53 |
Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 158.73 | $0.630 | $21.43 | -$78.57 |
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 12.5K | $0.008 | $18.75 | -$81.25 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1.21K | $0.165 | $13.97 | -$186.03 |
| buy |
| 240.96 |
| $0.830 |
| $200 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 200.6 | $0.997 | $200 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.095 | $100 | May 28, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 205.69 | $0.972 | $200 | May 28, 2026 |
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.63 | $0.984 | $100 | May 12, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | May 8, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 384.61 | $0.160 | $61.54 | May 8, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 120.48 | $0.820 | $98.79 | May 8, 2026 |
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 965.09 | $0.104 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 280.65 | $0.713 | $200 | May 6, 2026 |
US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.130 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 281.97 | $0.355 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 205.58 | $0.973 | $200 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | sell | 120.48 | $0.839 | $101.08 | Apr 24, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.964 | $150.63 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $70 in April?Yes | buy | 871.26 | $0.100 | $87.04 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?No | buy | 101.75 | $0.980 | $99.71 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 202.63 | $0.987 | $200 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 303.03 | $0.130 | $39.33 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | sell | 550.23 | $0.042 | $23.22 | Apr 18, 2026 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.165 | $200 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 104.86 | $0.716 | $75.05 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.008 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 259.97 | $0.999 | $259.71 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 209.72 | $0.477 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Apr 16, 2026 |
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.943 | $66.01 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 294.11 | $0.280 | $82.35 | Mar 29, 2026 |
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?Yes | buy | 291.49 | $0.343 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 301.2 | $0.996 | $300 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 385.76 | $0.001 | $0.39 | Mar 29, 2026 |
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 185.18 | $0.006 | $1.03 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.340 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 204.92 | $0.976 | $200 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 203.47 | $0.983 | $200 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 106.95 | $0.935 | $100 | Mar 14, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | sell | 188.37 | $0.252 | $47.5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 101.32 | $0.987 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 |
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes | sell | 157.72 | $0.963 | $151.88 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |