Analytics
Resolved No on 19 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.3%. Yes opened at 11% on 16 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 16 May 2025 to 19 May 2025, the highest close was 11% on 16 May 2025 and the lowest 3.7% on 19 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 4% on 18 May 2025. $4.01K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 16 May 2025 – 19 May 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2025 | 11.0% |
| 19 May 2025 | 3.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.82K |
| Mercedesarul | Yes | 1K |
| 30XA | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The season finale of American Idol is scheduled for May 18, 2025. This market will resolve according to the individual who wins Season 23 of American Idol. If for any reason no winner is declared by June 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the contestant who's last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be the live broadcast of the show, American Idol, and ABC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/american-idol-winner
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