Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 24 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 9 Sep 2026.
Across the 46 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 26.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 24.5% on 12 Sep 2026.
0.6% to 0.8% ranks sixth of the 7 outcomes in “Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?”. -0.3% to -0.1% leads at 43.5%; <-0.3% is at 29%.
$88 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $438.59 since listing. The order book holds $885.02, with a 3.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 54 trades, $9.31 bought Yes and $261.53 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 341 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 661.
Trading closes on 2 Dec 2026, 33 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 46 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Sep 2026 | 26.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 661.02 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 341.17 |
| Swift Meteor 30F2 | Yes | 80 |
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026-qoq
| flexer78 | Yes | 60 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 56.06 |
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes | 39.1 |
| SuSuDORIS | Yes | 23 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 20.01 |
| dsfd3 | Yes | 15 |
| unkown.guy | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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