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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.3 | +$0.3 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 11.36 |
| $0.880 |
| $10.28 |
| +$0.28 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 10.49 | $0.952 | $10.17 | +$0.18 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.99 | $0.770 | $9.94 | -$0.06 |
 Lula participates in debate before first round? | Yes | 27 | $0.380 | $9.86 | -$0.41 |
 Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.410 | $5.56 | +$0.44 |
 Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? | Yes | 16.5 | $0.303 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.580 | $5.25 | -$0.55 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | No | 6.31 | $0.793 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.936 | $4.78 | +$0.1 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.950 | $4.63 | -$0.37 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | No | 7.41 | $0.674 | $4.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.800 | $3.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.49 | $0.910 | $3.27 | -$1.73 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | 150.92 | $0.039 | $3.17 | -$2.79 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | Yes | 321.7 | $0.003 | $2.73 | +$1.73 |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $1.5 | +$0.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $1.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | Yes | 102.39 | $0.010 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.050 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%? | Yes | 424.72 | $0.002 | $0.85 | -$0.15 |
| buy |
| 1.2 |
| $0.830 |
| $1 |
| 4d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.410 | $5.13 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.932 | $93.2 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.769 | $10 | 5d ago |
 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.7%?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.491 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Solana Up or Down - September 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 2.1% and 2.3%?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.087 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in August 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 4.37 | $0.229 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%?Yes | buy | 102.39 | $0.010 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?Yes | buy | 424.72 | $0.002 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?Yes | buy | 246.4 | $0.004 | $1 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 7d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.674 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?Yes | buy | 321.7 | $0.003 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.793 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.303 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?Yes | buy | 118.92 | $0.042 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 7d ago |