Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 4 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 89 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2026 to 1 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 20 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 13 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 46.5% on 6 Jun 2026. $6.84K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 89 points, 4 Jun 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 36.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.39K |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 458.41 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 125 |
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 2nd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for release on September 1, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/brazil-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026-qoq
| Yes |
| 100 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| Erick666 | Yes | 64.34 |
| hdjdjdjhshh | Yes | 40 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30.05 |
| Sure-Footed-Cot | Yes | 18.67 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 16.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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