Analytics
Resolved No on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 20 May 2026, the highest close was 28.3% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 20 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 6.6% on 14 May 2026. $6.75K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 21, 3:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 20 May 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 4.3% |
| 20 May 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 690.86 |
| polkiajd | Yes | 54 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/idaho-democratic-senate-primary-winner
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Amber Lynx 49FF | Yes | 5 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 3.32 |
| Quiet Vector 0F6D | Yes | 2.85 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 2 |
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