Analytics
Yes is at 55.5%, up 32 points from 24% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 41 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.5%; a month before, 39.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 60.5% on 18 Sep 2026.
Boca Juniors is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Copa Sudamericana 2026 Winner”, ahead of Atletico Mineiro at 43.5%.
$642.19 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.13K since listing. The order book holds $554.04, with a 7.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 300 trades, $1.35K bought Yes and $1.17K bought No.
The largest Yes position is EMFD with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 794. Ten wallets hold 90.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Nov 2026, 30 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 24.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EMFD | Yes | 1.25K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 794.37 |
| DavidShekel | No | 226.28 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Copa Sudamericana. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana per the rules of CONMEBOL (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Copa Sudamericana is cancelled, postponed after December 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/copa-sudamericana-2026-winner
| cosmicsteaks |
| Yes |
| 218.85 |
| BeginnersLuck2 | No | 200 |
| rocky42002 | No | 172.75 |
| JoGold | Yes | 153.73 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 105.25 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 103.88 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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