Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 20, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 20 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 12.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 19 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 7.5% on 11 Mar 2026.

38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 4:13 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Mar 2026	12.5%
20 Mar 2026	2.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	36.16K
cat6767	Yes	7.47K
MKGG	Yes	5.18K
cry.eth2	Yes	2.41K

10 of 38 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 First Stand Tournament, currently scheduled for March 16th - March 22nd, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games. However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/First_Stand_Tournament/2026) may also be used.