Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 11 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 11 Jun 2026 to 24 Jun 2026, the highest close was 98.7% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points up, to 98% on 14 Jun 2026. $32.93K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 3:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 11 Jun 2026 – 24 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | 57.5% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 96.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.09K |
| Lavincey | No | 38.73 |
| explorer221 | No | 20.09 |
| 59gfdgd | No | 0.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ut-02-republican-primary-winner-20260610201730541
| Colala | Yes | 0.02 |
| dropmeplease | No | 0.02 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 0.01 |
| 0561 | Yes | 0.01 |
| POB1 | Yes | 0.01 |
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