Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 26 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 46.5% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 2.1% on 27 Sep 2026. $67.17K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 46.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 1.49K |
| 1nvoker1 | Yes | 1.46K |
| wAliens | Yes | 1.09K |
| acal | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On September 24, 2026, Bitget suffered an exploit of approximately $387.5 million and announced that it was suspending withdrawals (https://x.com/bitget/status/2103236552482848927). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitget resumes withdrawals by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Bitget must actually resume withdrawals for this market to resolve “Yes”. The resumption of withdrawals will qualify, even if partial in scope or if withdrawals are limited to certain assets, amounts, or subsets of users. Announcements of plans or intended timelines to resume withdrawals will not qualify. Isolated user reports of successful withdrawals will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bitget, including clear designations on its platform that withdrawals are available; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-bitget-resume-withdrawals-by
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 700 |
| Zetherka | Yes | 555.62 |
| PaddyAlpha | Yes | 418.59 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 415.64 |
| AllByMyseIf | Yes | 378.21 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 236.82 |
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