Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 6 May 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 56.5% on 5 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 73.5% on 6 May 2026. $274.41K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 12:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 May 2026 – 6 May 2026, chart shows 50%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | 56.5% |
| 6 May 2026 | 73.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Defenseless-Mate | No | 1.67K |
| SingW | No | 1.12K |
| Starks.sats | No | 736.25 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 685 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-may-4-10
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| DrTie | No | 602.42 |
| Identical-Schooner | No | 467.87 |
| artPound | No | 312 |
| fanija | No | 160 |
| marjatta | No | 150 |
| Bold Meteor DC0A | No | 111 |
