Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.3% on 24 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Feb 2026 to 2 Mar 2026, the highest close was 12.3% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points up, to 12.3% on 26 Feb 2026. $384.05K traded over the market's life.
65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 3, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Feb 2026 – 2 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | 5.3% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trifling-Barbecue | Yes | 61K |
| mbymerostonz | Yes | 8.68K |
| fomod | Yes | 6.06K |
| Bernado | Yes | 2.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Bitcoin hit February 23-March 1?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-february-23-march-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Plump-Steward | Yes | 2.25K |
| Frosty-Mainland | Yes | 1.36K |
| Passionate-Scarecrow | Yes | 1.12K |
| Adriana1991 | Yes | 1K |
| WPltfswp126 | Yes | 1K |
| wxy7766 | Yes | 1K |
