
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 1 Sep 2025, the highest close was 25.5% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 8.5% on 15 Aug 2025. $2.15M traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 9:15 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 1 Sep 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 9.5% |
| 1 Sep 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IlllIIIlIIllI | Yes | 80K |
| kederrac | Yes | 56K |
| Giddy-Pinkie | Yes | 26.75K |
| bombo | Yes | 25.67K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-august
| XXX111XXX | Yes | 9.63K |
| NNGG | Yes | 6.05K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 5.14K |
| 0Ryu0 | Yes | 3.89K |
| Legitimate-Fellow | Yes | 2.69K |
| m0rti | Yes | 2.42K |
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