Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Oct 5, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$775.6K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 5, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 5 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 80% on 9 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 58 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2025 to 5 Oct 2025, the highest close was 94.7% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 56.4% on 26 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 86% on 23 Aug 2025. $775.64K traded over the market's life.

48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 58 points, 9 Aug 2025 – 5 Oct 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Aug 2025	80.0%
5 Oct 2025	91.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Enormous-Particular	No	120K
circl	No	14.73K
MX1	No	7.28K

10 of 48 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $125,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.