
Resolved Yes on 13 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52.5%. Yes opened at 39% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2025 to 13 Aug 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 13 Aug 2025 and the lowest 39% on 12 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 52.5% on 13 Aug 2025. $19.2K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 12:41 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 13 Aug 2025, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 39.0% |
| 13 Aug 2025 | 52.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 275 |
| fanija | No | 150 |
| Clearbalance | No | 140 |
| Valad | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-11-17
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| toddallendale | No | 61.56 |
| nikinjective | No | 11.36 |
| JaidenAnimations | No | 7.13 |
| Hewlett1 | No | 1.56 |