Analytics
Resolved Yes on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 2 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2025 to 11 Aug 2025, the highest close was 92.5% on 11 Aug 2025 and the lowest 53.5% on 3 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 92.5% on 11 Aug 2025. $438.66K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 8:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 2 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2025 | 59.0% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 92.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 7153649820 | No | 7.87K |
| 19991 | No | 6K |
| BtcBull | No | 5.73K |
| aetos | No | 5.55K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| Patek | No | 5K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | No | 3.02K |
| JaidenAnimations | No | 2.64K |
| circl | No | 1.35K |
| zwbmm | No | 1.05K |
| Clearbalance | No | 650 |
