Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2025 to 7 Aug 2025, the highest close was 84.5% on 5 Aug 2025 and the lowest 62.5% on 6 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 62.5% on 6 Aug 2025. $53.26K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 11:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 5 Aug 2025 – 7 Aug 2025, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 84.5% |
| 7 Aug 2025 | 73.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JaidenAnimations | No | 20.64K |
| Cucumberus | No | 15K |
| arjanwyss | No | 1.41K |
| Krejza68 | No | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-4-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| andyabc | No | 40 |
| Galaxy-Digital | No | 20.83 |
| RenatoGMac | No | 4.17 |
| Hewlett1 | No | 2.04 |
