Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Jan 17, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.8M

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 17, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67.5%. Yes opened at 58% on 3 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2025 to 17 Jan 2025, the highest close was 82.5% on 7 Jan 2025 and the lowest 37.5% on 10 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 60.5% on 8 Jan 2025. $1.79M traded over the market's life.

60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 18, 6:44 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 3 Jan 2025 – 17 Jan 2025

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
kim888	No	8K
ThiagoM18	No	5.09K
jopie072	No	3.29K
enochsmiles	No	3K

10 of 60 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between January 2, 2025, 11:00 and January 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $105,000 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.