Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 31.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 20.5% on 9 Feb 2026. $19.04K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 31.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 223dsfgsr | Yes | 369.99 |
| 11qqqwwww | Yes | 360 |
| Neon Voyager 1285 | Yes | 351.86 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 162 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-bitcoin-outperform-in-february
| 6yanqing500 | Yes | 125.9 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| acal | Yes | 100 |
| 2d0rmeai | Yes | 90 |
| Nocturnal-Stamen | Yes | 71.43 |
| Vacant-Luggage | Yes | 61.33 |
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