Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.8%. Yes opened at 49% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 98.8% on 31 Mar 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 9 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 79.5% on 20 Mar 2026. $26.34K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 1:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 49.0% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 98.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| chaomutan | No | 186.52 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Rules
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-bitcoin-outperform-in-march
| No |
| 153.16 |
| zabaniya6666 | No | 149.38 |
| tongmengzhuo | No | 146.96 |
| cituanan | No | 132.35 |
| yanxianzhi | No | 132.07 |
| jiakewei | No | 131.43 |
| yuannayun | No | 127.85 |
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