Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?

cryptoResolved

$80k, settled Feb 28, 2025 UTC

$80k

100.0%

$90k

0.0%

Final $80k 100¢Final $90k 0¢

Lifetime volume

$653.2K

Resolved

$80k

Settled

Feb 28, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved $80k on 28 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had $80k at 47%. The $80k side opened at 13% on 26 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2025 to 28 Feb 2025, the highest close was 55.5% on 27 Feb 2025 and the lowest 13% on 26 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 55.5% on 27 Feb 2025. $653.19K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 1, 4:18 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the $80k price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Feb 2025 – 28 Feb 2025

$80k price, first and latest
Observed	$80k price
26 Feb 2025	13.0%
28 Feb 2025	47.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Magwa	$90k	164.26
shailavi	$90k	42.86
Gvhhf	$90k	22.5
DoktorG	$90k	19.88

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $80,000.00 or $90,000.00 between February 25, 2025, 12:30 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "$80k" if $BTC drops to $80,000.00 or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "$90k" if $BTC reaches $90,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $80,000.00 or below nor reaches $90,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.