Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Resolved

100k, settled Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$395.6K

Resolved

100k

Settled

Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved 100k on 4 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had 100k at 30.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 6 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2025 to 4 Nov 2025, the highest close was 70% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 13% on 7 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 44% on 11 Oct 2025. $395.57K traded over the market's life.

305 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 12:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 6 Aug 2025 – 4 Nov 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Aug 2025	51.0%
4 Nov 2025	69.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
0Ryu0	130k	7.71K
eck0wns	130k	6.64K
tlmonks	130k	4.55K

10 of 305 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between August 5, 2025 at 10:30 AM ET and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.