Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

cryptoResolved

Yes, settled Jan 13, 2025 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$171.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 13, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 13 Jan 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 85.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 31 Dec 2024 to 13 Jan 2025, the highest close was 93.5% on 10 Jan 2025 and the lowest 84.5% on 1 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 91.5% on 2 Jan 2025. $171.5K traded over the market's life.

7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:00 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 31 Dec 2024 – 13 Jan 2025, chart shows 80%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
31 Dec 2024	85.5%
13 Jan 2025	91.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
313	No	320
StevenTsui2	No	90.91
PolyDump	No	40

7 of 7 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between December 30, 2024, 20:00 and December 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $90,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.