Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40%. Yes opened at 43% on 18 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Nov 2025 to 20 Nov 2025, the highest close was 43% on 18 Nov 2025 and the lowest 33% on 19 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 33% on 19 Nov 2025. $398.41K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 22, 12:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Nov 2025 – 20 Nov 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Nov 2025 | 43.0% |
| 20 Nov 2025 | 40.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BlackswanHunter | No | 5.69K |
| WhitneyHouston | No | 3.7K |
| Sky03 | No | 1K |
| lhenryyyy | No | 961.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 893 |
| PhongLeXBT | No | 568.07 |
| fdgdhfjgjg | No | 490 |
| gfhgjk | No | 469 |
| cxvxvc | No | 424 |
| hgffdgfrr | No | 377 |
