
Resolved No on 22 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 16 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Dec 2025 to 22 Dec 2025, the highest close was 54% on 18 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 54% on 18 Dec 2025. $193.12K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 4, 10:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Dec 2025 | 35.5% |
| 22 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 10.6K |
| stepllc | Yes | 5.22K |
| Anr38 | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 684 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-december-15-21
| vaderrs | Yes | 499.99 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 462 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 377 |
| heuer | Yes | 300 |
| Worthwhile-Rebel | Yes | 300 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 267 |
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