Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 22 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2026 to 28 Sep 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 22 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 28 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 5.5% on 25 Sep 2026. $185.18K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Sep 2026 – 28 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2026 | 12.5% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Well-To-Do-Sanctity | Yes | 7.8K |
| Lighthearted-Aperitif | Yes | 2.64K |
| anna003 | Yes | 2.44K |
| ComTruise | Yes | 2.09K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-september-21-27-2026
| latzs | Yes | 2.06K |
| Short-Term-Hippopotamus | Yes | 1.92K |
| tontonwhale | Yes | 1.47K |
| cryptodebil | Yes | 1.4K |
| wAliens | Yes | 1.4K |
| CRCMSY. | Yes | 1.1K |
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