Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 4.5% on 30 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 5 Jan 2026. $133.8K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 4.5% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zigzag-Flow | Yes | 15.15K |
| 12233222 | Yes | 13.76K |
| Anr38 | Yes | 3.37K |
| dadadetaotao | Yes | 2.9K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 2.5K |
| felcorn14 | Yes | 2.5K |
| xiaowegao | Yes | 1.85K |
| QQW | Yes | 1.5K |
| checsi | Yes | 666.67 |
| bontetra | Yes | 518.14 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Bitcoin hit December 29-January 4?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-december-29-january-4
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