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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 419.79 | $0.001 | $0.57 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.016 |
| $1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 133.37 | $0.015 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.014 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.014 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 419.78 | $0.017 | $7.26 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 279.85 | $0.022 | $6.18 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 763.51 | $0.013 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.013 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 398.91 | $0.025 | $10 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.42 | $0.075 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 441.82 | $0.045 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 653.93 | $0.076 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.102 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.04 | $0.102 | $10 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 345.14 | $0.145 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.002 | $1.8 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 53.15 | $0.188 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.025 | $50 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 329.88 | $0.152 | $50 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 789.55 | $0.127 | $100 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.01K | $0.033 | $100 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 40K | $0.001 | $40 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 233.01 | $0.172 | $40 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 576.55 | $0.173 | $100 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 932.81 | $0.182 | $170 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.18K | $0.184 | $400 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | sell | 3.24K | $0.120 | $389.18 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66K | $0.027 | $44.14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Yes | sell | 5.56K | $0.010 | $56.53 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 239.38 | $0.110 | $26.33 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 766.91 | $0.033 | $25.46 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.294 | $30 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 150.47 | $0.332 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 199.38 | $0.251 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 760.96 | $0.066 | $50 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 97.06 | $0.309 | $30 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 127.8 | $0.313 | $40 | Apr 11, 2026 |