
Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 3.7% on 30 Dec 2025 and the low 0.1% on 4 Jan 2026. $159.86K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 3.7% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 321222 | Yes | 9K |
| 1122333ss | Yes | 8.75K |
| sas22233 | Yes | 8.26K |
| xiaowegao | Yes | 5.5K |
| xxzaaaa | Yes | 4.57K |
| 22233sss | Yes | 4.46K |
| lucasd10 | Yes | 3.5K |
| Anr38 | Yes | 2.57K |
| mango0x | Yes | 2K |
| xixuanyuan | No | 716.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will Bitcoin hit December 29-January 4?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-december-29-january-4
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