Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 19% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 19% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 10.5% on 12 Mar 2026.
62 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 5%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 19.0% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spry-Roundabout | Yes | 16.59K |
| ckZHCk20 | Yes | 5.93K |
| 3CCowboy | Yes | 5K |
| Thin-Membrane | Yes | 3.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Bitcoin hit March 9-15?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-march-9-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Violet Beacon C9BD | Yes | 2.98K |
| FreeLancerZ | Yes | 2.86K |
| Violet Orbit E204 | Yes | 1.85K |
| 888858 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Well-Lit-Velvet | Yes | 1K |
| 0xEBE5 | Yes | 1K |
