
Resolved No on 16 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.6% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 16 Feb 2026, the highest close was 4.6% on 10 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Feb 2026. $159.64K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 17, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 16 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 4.6% |
| 16 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vivaldi007 | Yes | 3.51K |
| Irishhhh334 | Yes | 2K |
| HotSignal | Yes | 1.5K |
| Cosmic Summit E8E6 | Yes | 1.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-february-9-15
| Coral Oracle 2932 | Yes | 1K |
| Any-Bend | Yes | 887.68 |
| ronyrocks | Yes | 799.33 |
| Nadin592 | Yes | 676.57 |
| aleksandr09031970 | Yes | 675.89 |
| Failing-Plugin | Yes | 669.22 |
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