Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4.3% on 1 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 4.3% on 1 Mar 2025 and the low 0.1% on 28 Mar 2025. $1.15M traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 5:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 1 Mar 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2025 | 4.3% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sniper123 | Yes | 7.48K |
| asd5838 | Yes | 7.47K |
| Paratol | Yes | 6.04K |
| 371 | Yes | 1.6K |
| MarketCrash | Yes | 1.5K |
| jehova | Yes | 374.29 |
| hojjjh | Yes | 244.57 |
| Traderjoexbt | Yes | 200 |
| dryfg | Yes | 180.42 |
| kiokic | Yes | 178.74 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between February 28, 13:00 and March 31, 2025, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" price of $50,000 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-by-march-31
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