Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 5 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Aug 2025 to 11 Aug 2025, the highest close was 29% on 6 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 11 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 14.5% on 7 Aug 2025. $100.47K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 12, 8:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2025 | 24.5% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jess1 | Yes | 1K |
| Stevevz | Yes | 980.39 |
| Acexavi46 | Yes | 750 |
| lemmywalker | Yes | 270.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-4-10
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 231.99 |
| Dim-Governance | Yes | 200 |
| alirezamig | Yes | 128.21 |
| Sherexis | Yes | 32.19 |
| eddiemotion | Yes | 18.75 |
| thegoodigigio | Yes | 18 |
